The Strategic Balance of the Middle East and Tricky Nature of Conflicts in Current Scenarios

                                                                             

The Middle East

The current situation in the Middle East is going to be interesting. Especially when the vicinities of Israel-Arabs are spiked. The geographical picture of the Middle East manifested its importance. While the big bosses of the world completely monitored every vibration of the region. Alliances, animosities, and diplomatic effects that created them will clear in the future. Arab-Israel tartness is reducing its pace while another tartness ballooned, which is Arab Iran and Turkey's tartness. Now talking about the big bosses, the Soviet Union has dissolved, China and Russia have replaced it, and the opposition which is the USA and Europe stood on their grounds. The big bosses monitored and influence their pawns and pawns to align their strategic objectives with their bosses to dominate the Middle East. There are two important weapons of this Middle East Strategic Dominance, which are;

1. Regular Armies
2. Proxies

So, these weapons are for tactical, strategic gains. The ultimate form of these two gains is diplomatic victory. But without the support, they are nothing. What these supporting elements are? Here we discussed them:

1. Robust Economy
2. Effective Military Might
3. Access to Advanced Technology
4. Geography
5. Geopolitics
6. Diplomacy and Alliances
7. Style of Government
8. Culture

Economy

These are the pillars of the pivot of strategic balance in the region. Big bosses through their pawns, always trying to take the balance into their favor. However, these elements showed their full potential during war times. In the current circumstances, Turkey, Israel, and Iran are three active players. In the historic preview, Arabs fought all of them, the pawns and big bosses all over the world directly and indirectly.

Now, the first point is the robust economy, so strategic balance first pillar and as a whole, the Middle Eastern economy comprises 3.7 trillion dollars. All major Arab countries, Turkey, Israel, and Iran are the main influencers of the Middle Eastern economy and economic structure. OPEC has also given them a complete economic influential structure over the world economy. Anyway, this is another topic, from a strategic point of view, a term used we called it "Spectrum of War" in the colors of the spectrum “Rousted Economy" is shown as " Cost of Conflict". Now here comes the weapons as above mention:

1. Regular Armies
2. Proxies

Conflicts' Map 2015

The cost of conflict is different in two scenarios:

1. Regular Conflicts
2. Irregular Conflicts

The spectrum of conflict is a system itself of military sciences. It is not our discussion. Our discussion is a robust economy that handles the cost of conflict. Now moving towards the first active player, which is Israel.

Previously, we are talking about the Middle East Strategic Balance and all the elements that hold that balance first pillar is the Robust Economy, and the first active player Israel and how in all conflicts Israel covers its cost of conflict? 14 conflicts where Israel is being involved and 5 are where Israel fought with regular armies and in the remaining 9 Israel fought with proxies. The cost of conflict of Israel which spent by Israel on two things:

1. Advanced Technology
2. Strong Military Might

   

                                                                            

Israeli Investment in Technology

 

                                                                                

                                                                                      

Israeli Military Might

This is good for fighting with a regular army, but with proxies, it depends on chances as most noteworthy proxy wars as Vietnam War and Soviet-Afghan war are fought by powerful armies against proxies. In the west bank and Lebanon, the story is the same: a powerful military is fighting with some improper groups of insurgents. In 5 conflicts against the regular armies, Israel's strategic gain is far greater than the cost of conflict. In 5 conflicts, there is one war which is the 1982 Lebanon War; Israel fought against a proxy and army same time. The Syrian Arab Army and PLO are two opponents in the 1982 Lebanon War. In regular wars, the strategic gains gave Israel three dominances:

1. Geographical Dominance
2. Geopolitical Dominance
3. Diplomatic Dominance

 

                                                                              

Israeli Strategic Depth

Respectively, the cost of conflicts in 1948,1967,1970,1973 and 1982 are:

1. 300 Million Dollars
2. 1 Billion Dollars
3. 300 Million Dollars
4. 5-6 Billion Dollars
5. 1.1 Billion Dollars

But the gains are more profitable than the cost, as results will show their colors in the future, as Israeli acceptance in the Arab world will happen sharply than the world thinks. We divided the economy into two sections:

1. Internal Economic Factors and Planning
2. Allies Participations

Here are six major sectors of Israel's economy;

1. Agriculture 
2. Financial Institutions and Services
3. High-end Technology
4. Power
5. Industry
6. Tourism

                                                                                

Israeli Economic Evolution

No doubt Israel suffered enormous costs at all 6 points. In regular wars, the strategic gains are larger than the enormous which Israel had earned in the wars. Three gains that Israel has taken from the previous 5 regular wars:

1. Territorial and Geographical Gains
2. Geopolitical and International Recognition
3. New Diplomatic Alliances

Now we discussed the economy and cost of conflict with the strategic gains which Israel has materialized. First, the political leadership of Israel decided when to fight a war. The war is a rational game or activity no one can unnecessarily imagine and glorify. In 1948 and 1967 the Israeli establishment very wisely choose to fight with the help of strong diplomacy and reliable alliances, as the biggest economic aid came from the USA and this aid flourishes its economic structure through these aid programs by aligning its strategic goals and benefits also cause in the reduction of cost of conflict. Because the strategic gains are much bigger than the cost. Israel would recover the cost in a matter of time, where strategic gains remain through a lifetime. In regular war, the numbers only create a difference from one to another army. As arrow vs. arrow, sword vs. sword, and shield vs. shield, so the cost of conflict also be differentiated based on the number, that's why we mentioned benefits are more than humongous.